Friday, October 2, 2015

Choose Facebook $FB Over LinkedIn $LNKD, Twitter $TWTR

  • Wedbush on Thursday assumed coverage of Facebook Inc FB , LinkedIn Corp LNKD  and Twitter Inc TWTR .
  • The firm gave Facebook an Outperform rating, and Twitter and LinkedIn, a Neutral rating.
  • Shares of Facebook rose 1.17 percent on Thursday, while LinkedIn fell 0.43 percent, and Twitter fell 8.43 percent.
Wedbush set the following 12-month price targets: Facebook at $115.00, LinkedIn at $200.00, Twitter at $30.00.

Despite “phenomenal” growth that Facebook experienced over the past decade, Wedbush still expects the company to continue to expand its active user base over the decade to come. In addition, “Facebook is at the leading edge of a shifting communications environment (…) The transition to immersive 3D video creates the potential for a host of new applications, including education, gaming, and service offerings not currently offered by Facebook.”

Two more elements to take into account are (1) Facebook’s consistent success in increasing user engagement, the frequency in the delivery of ads, and ad rates per view; and (2) its impressive EBITDA contribution margin on revenue growth of 80 percent.

Regarding LinkedIn, Pachter does recognize its status as “the preferred online destination for job seekers and recruiters” and acknowledges that the company does seek to capitalize on this sturdy and active user base by offering several sorts of products – like marketing and education solutions.

However, LinkedIn’s “progress in marketing and educational solutions will likely be driven by engagement of its users” and Wedbush is not optimistic about LinkedIn’s ability to drive engagement without compelling content. In addition, they note shares are fairly valued.

The firm believes Twitter has a solid user base, “a first mover advantage that will be nearly impossible to overcome, and a flawed business model.” While they do believe that Twitter can battle Facebook in reach, it would need to change its strategy to successfully rival it.
Until the firm sees evidence that management has implemented a new strategy that can drive user and engagement growth, they would rather remain on the sidelines – at least until a new CEO is officially selected.

Bullish analysts have price targets between $105 - $125 on FB.

Gold Looks Ready For Its Next Leg Lower

You want to talk about strong trends, it’s hard to find a cleaner downtrend than what we’ve had in precious metals since 2011. The Gold bugs have gotten really quiet and I’m actually starting to miss them. Remember how obnoxious the silver permabulls were 5-6 years ago? We’re near levels where metals are just a joke and from an anecdotal perspective, one might think that they couldn’t possibly go any lower as they are arguably the most hated asset class on earth. But the data suggests otherwise. In fact, sentiment, although just off bearish extremes, isn’t anywhere near the levels we’ve seen at prior pivot lows over the past few years. (more)

Zebra Technologies Corp. (NASDAQ: ZBRA)

Zebra Technologies Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, sells, and supports direct thermal and thermal transfer label printers, radio frequency identification (RFID) printer/encoders, dye sublimation card printers, real-time locating solutions, related accessories, and support software worldwide. It products are used principally in automatic identification (auto ID), data collection, and personal identification applications. The company also provides mobile computing and advanced data capture technologies and services, which include rugged and enterprise-grade mobile computers; laser, imaging, and radio frequency identification based data capture products; wireless LAN (WLAN) solutions and software; and applications that are associated with these products and services.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Zebra (NASDAQ: ZBRA) with the added notations:
1-year chart of Zebra (NASDAQ: ZBRA)
ZBRA doubled in value from October of 2014 to June of this year. After peaking at $120, the stock started its current decline that now has the stock trading below its key level of $75 (red). The break of $75 should lead to lower prices for ZBRA.

The Tale of the Tape: ZBRA broke a key level of support at $75. A trader could enter a short position on any rallies up to or near $75 with a stop placed above the level. If the stock were to break back above the $75 level, a long position might be entered instead.

Thursday, October 1, 2015

ConforMIS Inc (NASDAQ:CFMS)

ConforMIS, Inc. is a medical technology company. The Company uses its iFit Image-to-Implant technology platform to develop, manufacture and sell joint replacement implants that are individually sized and shaped, to fit each patient's anatomy. It is engaged in offering a line of customized knee implants designed to restore the natural shape of a patient's knee. The Company has sold over 30,000 knee implants in the United States and Europe. It also launched iTotal PS, the Company’s posterior-stabilized total knee replacement implant, which addresses the largest segment of the knee replacement market. The Company’s products are available in the United States, Germany and the United Kingdom. Its products are offered to orthopedic surgeons, hospitals and other medical facilities and patients. The Company’s iFit technology platform includes three elements: iFit Design, iFit Printing and iFit Just-in-Time Delivery.

There are 5 analysts who currently follow this stock, 4 have a BUY rating and 1 an OUTPERFORM.

ConforMIS Inc (NASDAQ:CFMS) is consolidating nicely between 17/19. Worth watching for a breakout. Stop 16.72

6 Stocks Short Sellers Are Betting Against: $AAPL, $GPRO, $CHK, $FIT, $ZIOP, $KERX

SunGard's Astec Analytics looks into short-selling activity weekly.
  • This week’s top pick, from a securities lending perspective, is none other than Apple Inc. AAPL .
  • Other stocks that are seeing substantial short-selling activity include Chesapeake Energy Corporation CHK , GoPro Inc GPRO , Fitbit Inc FIT , ZIOPHARM Oncology Inc. ZIOP  and Keryx Biopharmaceuticals KERX .

  • SunGard's Astec Analytics provides intraday short-selling market data via securities lending analytics. In a recent report sent to clients, the firm shared a “roundup of some of the hottest stocks from a securities lending perspective.”
    Below is a look at Karl Loomes’ list of top stocks in the Americas – from a security lending perspective.

    Apple

    Same as last week, Apple was Astec’s top pick for the Americas this week. The company was once again in the spotlight as it released its new iPhone 6S, “which as usual saw fans queuing around the street in anticipation.”
    Management said that based on pre-orders it anticipates sales in the first weekend to surpass the 10 million units its predecessor sold last year. “Despite this, the company’s share price saw fairly mixed trade during the week,” the report assured.
    “While Astec’s data suggests [sic] short sellers have been taking a bearish view for the firm over the past month, during which time borrowing volumes have climbed 32 percent.”

    GoPro

    Maintaining its spot from last week, GoPro is number two in Astec’s list.
    This week Facebook Inc FB  launched a new 360-degree video facility, which GoPro cameras “are set to dominate in, utilizing a proprietary six-camera spherical rig that was announced earlier this year,” the report explained.
    However, Loomes noted, wider concerns regarding the wearable technology industry were noticeable in trading action for the most part. In fact, the number of GoPro shares being borrowed climbed roughly four times higher over September, hitting their highest levels since the company went public.

    Chesapeake Energy

    Also maintaining its spot from last week is Chesapeake. Over the past week, oil prices took another blow, following the release of official data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), which showed crude production in the United States has increased to 9.14m/bpd. In addition, The Street’s online research platform rates the stock a sell.
    “The ongoing trouble with the oil markets saw its shares pressured during the week, though on the borrowing front our data hints at the first stages of slackening demand to short sell its stock, with the cost of borrowing falling from more than 16 percent to about 12 percent,” Loomes expounded.

    Fitbit

    Fitbit was once again on the spotlight this week, following the release of official exchange short selling data, which showed short sellers were reducing their positions in the company. Nonetheless, Astec’s data, “which covers the period that the official numbers have yet to show, suggests this was actually merely a dip in the metric rather than a sustained change in attitude.”
    The firm’s lending data shows that the amount of Fitbit shares being borrowed did decline about 21 percent in the first two weeks of the month. However, the figure has bounced back since, surpassing previous levels and surging 55 percent in the second half of the month.

    ZIOPHARM Oncology

    ZIOPHARM made it to this week’s list on the back of “selling pressure brought about by technical trading – its price seen as crossing a key support level, which triggered a number of large stops in the market, forcing traders to sell the stock and bringing about a 14 percent drop in Friday’s session.”
    Having said this, the technical moves mentioned above apparently did not receive “a matched reaction on the part of short sellers,” as borrowing volumes actually fell three percent on Friday. Nonetheless, overall borrowing volumes are still high, 16 percent above where they stood a month ago.

    Keryx Biopharmaceuticals

    Finally, there’s Keryx, which made it to the list after gaining European approval for its hyperphosphatemia treatment Fexeric. Despite the good news, the company’s stock price “held in the red for most of the week.”
    According to Asctec’s borrowing data, short selling activity seems to be increasing. The number of Keryx shares being borrowed rose 9 percent over the past couple of weeks.

    ECONOMIC COLLAPSE COUNTDOWN -- IMF Warns MASS DEFAULT in Emerging Market as Currencies Collapse Under Debt!


    JUNK BOND MARKET IMMINENT COLLAPSE threatens BIG rate rises




    Everyone is so focused on looking at the Fed and whether or not it decides to raise rates by a puny 0.25%, that they are completely overlooking the fact that it is the market’s role to set interest rates, and if the Fed is not up to the job, then the markets will eventually take over and do it in a manner that is likely to involve rises vastly greater than a mere 0.25%, which given the current fragile and extremely unstable debt structure, can be expected to have catastrophic consequences. (more)