Wednesday, April 24, 2013

Wabash National Corporation (NYSE: WNC)

Wabash National Corporation engages in designing, manufacturing, and marketing standard and customized truck trailers, intermodal equipment, and transportation related products in North America. It operates in three segments: Commercial Trailer Products, Diversified Products, and Retail. The Commercial Trailer Products segment manufactures truck trailers; proprietary composite products; dry van trailers; standardized sheet and post, and refrigerated trailer products; and steel and aluminum flatbed, and dropdeck trailers. The Diversified Products segment focuses on diversifying its product offerings using intellectual technology. It offers complementary products to company's truck trailers and transportation equipment; AeroSkirt, an aerodynamic solution for over-the-road trailers; and customer-specific solutions to original equipment manufacturers and aftermarket customers. The Retail segment operates 12 retail branch locations, which sell new and used trailers, aftermarket parts, and services throughout the United States.
To review potential trading opportunities with Wabash's stock, please take a look at the 1-year chart of WNC (Wabash National Corporation) below with my added notations:
1-year chart of WNC (Wabash National Corporation) WNC formed a double top price pattern (red). Double tops are reversal patterns and are as simple as they sound: Rallying up to a point (T), selling off to a support, and then rallying back up again to approximately the same top (T). As with any price pattern, a confirmation of the pattern is needed. WNC confirmed its pattern by breaking the $9 support (purple) that was created by the double top pattern.
Chart patterns can also provide price targets. Simply take the height of the overall pattern and add or subtract that amount to or from the breakout or breakdown point to get the minimum price objective. For example, since the double top pattern for WNC is $2 high ($11 - $9), WNC should fall to a minimum of $7 ($9 - $2). Chart pattern price targets are certainly not guarantees, but they are often fulfilled.
The Tale of the Tape: WNC has broken down from its double top and should be moving lower overall. A short trade could be made on any rallies back up to $9, while a long trade could be made if the stock were to break back above the $9 level.
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Low Gold Sentiment Means......

"Gold lately has had about as much luster as a rusty tin can," wrote Time magazine -- in August 1976.

"After that article was published," EverBank's Frank Trotter reminds us, "the yellow metal rallied about 600% in the following four years. I tell you this story because investors' sentiment toward precious metals is also terrible today."

Look no further, says Frank, than the Hulbert Gold Newsletter Sentiment Index. "It's a survey that shows what gold newsletter writers are telling their subscribers. Right now the index is showing a reading of 31% net short, a historical record low since the inception of the survey in 1997. This means the average gold newsletter adviser is recommending that clients and subscribers short gold with 31% of their portfolio. 

"Since 2000," Mr. Trotter continues, "this index has registered a reading below 20% only three other times. The chart below shows the performance of gold since 2002 and the readings of the index. As you can see, gold had a huge rally on all three of those occasions. 

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Investment Education 101: Compound Interest





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Goldman Closes Gold Short

zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden / April 23, 2013,
It appears Goldman (together with virtually everyone else focused on physical not paper gold) has bought enough gold from its clients. Now, there is only upside.
Goldie on gold:
We closed our short trading recommendation on gold
We have closed our recommendation to short COMEX Gold, as prices moved above the stop at $1,400/toz. We have exited the trade significantly below our original target of $1,450/toz, for a potential gain of 10.4%. The move since initiation was surprisingly rapid, likely exacerbated by the break of well-flagged technical support levels. Our bias is to expect further declines in gold prices on the combination of continued ETF outflows as conviction in holding gold continues to wane as well as our economists’ forecast for a reacceleration in US growth later this year.
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Jim Sinclair: Get Out of the System Now! Significant Deposits & Retirement Accounts Are in Banksters’ Cross-Hairs!

Jim Sinclair has turned his sights from warning investors to protect themselves with gold to urgently warning them to exit the financial system immediately, and take possession of physical gold held in your own possession.   Sinclair, who Friday warned investors that the US will be Cyprus’d and gold will reach $50,000/oz sent an email alert to subscribers Monday night warning that merely owning gold and storing is not enough, and that:
How you own and store becomes of critical and possibly terminal importance. Investors with significant deposits at in the system banks and brokers are in the dead center of harm’s way. Retirement accounts are also in the cross hairs of central planners.
Sinclair urges readers not to become a casualty of the central planners via the coming bail-in deposit confiscations, but to protect yourself by owning physical gold held outside of the financial system.
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Tuesday, April 23, 2013

"Dow 16,000": What you should know about this weekend's big bullish prediction

"The stock market isn't the only thing that has set records this spring. Barron's semiannual Big Money poll of professional investors also is setting a record – for bullishness, that is. In our latest survey, 74% of money managers identify themselves as bullish or very bullish about the prospects for U.S. stocks – an all-time high for Big Money, going back more than 20 years."

"Dow 16000!" – Barron's Magazine Big Money Poll, April 20, 2013

A few reminders…

"Still Bullish! (Dow 13000)" – Barron’s Magazine Big Money Poll, May 1, 2000

The May 2000 Big Money Poll was published with the Dow Jones Industrial Average at 10733.91. The Dow had already peaked nearly a thousand points higher in January of 2000, and would go on to lose about 40% of its value in the 2000-2002 bear market, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq faring far worse.

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Delek US Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: DK)

Delek US Holdings, Inc. operates as an integrated downstream energy company that operates in petroleum refining, logistics, and convenience store retailing businesses. The company operates in three segments: Refining, Logistics, and Retail. The Refining segment owns and operates two refineries in Tyler, Texas, and El Dorado, Arkansas; and produces various petroleum-based products used in transportation and industrial markets. The Logistics segment gathers, transports, and stores crude oil, as well as markets, distributes, transports, and stores refined products. This segment serves oil companies, independent refiners and marketers, jobbers, distributors, utility and transportation companies, and independent retail fuel operators. The Retail segment markets gasoline, diesel, and other refined petroleum products, as well as convenience merchandise.
Delek's stock is forming a head and shoulders (H&S) pattern. Please take a look at the 1-year chart of DK (Delek US Holdings, Inc) below with my added notations:
1-year chart of DK (Delek US Holdings, Inc) DK finally broke out through its $27 resistance area in January and rallied higher as expected. Over the last (3) months the stock has created a very important level at $35 (navy), which is also the “neckline” support for DK's H&S pattern. Above the neckline you will notice the H&S pattern itself (blue). Confirmation of the H&S would occur if the stock broke below its $35 support. If DK breaks that level, the stock should move lower from there.
The Tale of the Tape: DK seems to have formed a head & shoulders pattern. Although a trader could go long at $35 expecting a bounce, the stock's pattern implies an eventual breakdown. If that happens, a short trade should be entered on a break of the $35 level.

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