Saturday, October 24, 2009

WHERE THE JOBS AREn't

Globalization is to save the world. Free Trade is supposed to benefit the western nations. This jurist sees the ebb and flow of economic demise as more of a factor of capital flight. The stock market crash of 1929 was supposed to be the harbinger of the great depression, but it was not. The depression happened some time later. Adding insult to injury was the capital flight. They didn't teach us that in school. The lion's share of Wall Street's investment dollars went to Germany and Hitler. For some strange reason they experienced an economic miracle. Anyway its perfectly clear where the jobs went. They're in the black. The suckers who let it happen are in the red.


When the money stopped flowing to Germany, we see a sharp spike in the manufacturing graph. Some people say you need a war to have prosperity. I say stop the capital flight. The decline is quite obvious post WWII with the Marshall Plan coming into effect.



George Freund

Goldman should be allowed to fail


A decade ago, when Goldman Sachs was a private partnership, it had $6.5bn in equity and its 220 partners, most of whose money was tied up in the firm until they retired, took good care of their pot of gold.

The bank’s trading and principal investing division – the part that took the most risks with partners’ capital – was balanced with its fee-based investment banking and asset management divisions. Trading contributed about a third of its revenues in the two years leading up to its 1999 initial public offering.

After it sold shares in the IPO to outside investors – pension and mutual funds hold about 80 per cent of its equity – it steadily increased its appetite for risk. Its fixed income and currency division has become dominant, bringing in two-thirds of Goldman’s revenues in 2006 and 2007 (and 78 per cent in the first nine months of this year). (more)

Friday, October 23, 2009

Reducing deficit key to U.S. rating: Moody's

The United States, which posted a record deficit in the last fiscal year, may lose its Aaa-rating if it does not reduce the gap to manageable levels in the next 3-4 years, Moody's Investors Service said on Thursday.

The U.S. government posted a deficit of $1.417 trillion in the year ended September 30 as the deep recession and a series of bank rescues cut a gaping hole in its public finances. The White House has forecast deficits of more than $1 trillion through fiscal 2011.

"The Aaa rating of the U.S. is not guaranteed," said Steven Hess, Moody's lead analyst for the United States said in an interview with Reuters Television.

"So if they don't get the deficit down in the next 3-4 years to a sustainable level, then the rating will be in jeopardy." (more)

Watch What Institutional Investors are Doing


As an analytical firm, we pay for a lot of special data that the public can't get. Sometimes, the data is of major importance relative to what is going on in the stock market.

One such piece of data has to do with what Institutional Investors are doing. We all know that they are responsible for over 50% of any given day's volume ... which is why following this investment group is so important.

So today, let me share some of that data with you today. The data we will share is the daily "Institutional Selling Action". Every night, we take the data and feed it into a trending model chart that shows us the direction and trend of the Institutional Selling behavior. (more)

Banksters Are Just Like the Drug Cartel

Are You Laughing or Crying About Markets?

Are You Laughing or Crying About Markets?

There's no question about it, the markets can be very difficult at times. On the other hand, you can laugh all the way to the bank if you approach the markets in a systematic way.

I was looking once again at the S&P 500 and many people have said the market has gone up, not on the fundamentals, but on the perception that things are going to be better. Perception is one of the most powerful elements of the market. I would say that perception trumps both the fundamental and technical.

So what's going to happen to the S&P 500? Is it going to continue going higher for the rest of the year, or are we close to a turning point?

http://broadcast.ino.com/education/sp5001019/

In my new short video, I outline several key areas that this market is fast approaching. These levels could be the Achilles heel for this market and potentially set the direction for the rest of the year.

How a Crashing Currency Hides Actual Trends

Many Americans have a hard time wrapping their mind around a declining currency or the hidden tax that is inflation. The U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve understands this and for decades has exploited this issue to slowly siphon off the buying power of the U.S. dollar. Openly they tell the public that they are for a strong dollar policy but every action they take is guided to slowly debasing the currency. Take for example the current stock market rally. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 56 percent from the March lows. A stunning rally only seen one other time in history and we would need to go back to the 1930s for that. Yet at the same time, we have seen a collapse in the U.S. dollar. That is why oil, even though demand is relatively the same, is now back near $80 a barrel. (more)