I noted last Friday that many
sentiment indicators were getting up near previous areas buyers had
stepped in. I ended it by saying the best thing would be to make more
new lows this week and really get a spike in fear. Well, we made the
new lows and the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) just triggered one of the
better bullish signals over the past few years.
Taking a look at the VIX shows it just spiked up near the top end of its range over the past 20 months.
The VIX looks at volatility going out one month. Or another way to
put it, how much traders are willing to pay for S&P options a month
out. Meanwhile, the CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index (VXV) looks at the
volatility over the coming three months. In most cases, the VXV is
higher than the VIX because you are willing to pay more to own something
for three months as there are more chances for something bad to happen.
Makes a lot of sense if you think about it. (more)
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