House prices – with respect to both levels and changes – differ
widely across OECD countries. As a simple measure of relative rich or
cheapness, the OECD calculates if
the price-to-rent ratio (a measure of the profitability of owning a
house) and the price-to-income ratio (a measure of affordability) are
above their long-term averages, house prices are said to be overvalued,
and vice-versa. There are clearly some nations that are extremely
over-valued and others that are cheap but as SocGen’s Albert Edwards
notes, it is the UK that stands out as authorities have gone out of their way to prop up house prices -
still extremely over-valued (20-30%) – despite being at the epicenter
of the global credit bust. Summing up the central bankers anthem,
Edwards exclaims: “what makes me genuinely really angry is that burdening
our children with more debt to buy ridiculously expensive houses is
seen as a solution to the problem of excessively expensive housing.”
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