2013's market climb has earned the moniker of the "most hated stock
rally" -- and for good reason. Since stocks started their latest uptrend
in November, sentiment has been pointed markedly away from U.S. stocks.
But betting on the rally that everyone hated has paid off: the S&P 500 is up more than 14% year-to-date.
That same approach works well with the market's most hated individual stocks right now too.
That's not just my opinion -- the data bears it out. Going back over
the last decade, buying heavily shorted large and mid-cap stocks (the
top two quartiles of all shortable stocks by market capitalization)
would have beaten the S&P 500 by 9.28% each and every year. That's
some material outperformance during a decade when decent returns were
very hard to come by.
When I say that investors "hate" a stock, I'm talking about its short
interest. A stock with a high level of shorting indicates that there
are a lot of people willing to bet on a decline in its share price --
and not many willing to buy. One of the best indicators of just how high
a short-squeezed stock could go is the short interest ratio, which
estimates the number of days it would take for short-sellers to cover
their positions. The higher the short ratio, the higher the potential
profits when the shorts get squeezed. (more)
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