zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden /
Several months ago we pointed out something
not fully grasped by the broader public: the Chinese corporate debt
bubble is the largest of any developed and developing country, and at
151% of GDP (and rising rapidly) is the biggest in the world. What is
better known is that corporate debt is just one part of the total debt
picture, which also includes consumer loans, government debt and other
“shadow debt” credit in the case of China. So how does China’s true debt
picture as a percentage of debt look? As the chart below from Goldman
shows, in 2013 the total credit outstanding in China is expected
to rise to a whopping 240% of GDP, and continue rising from there at an
ever faster pace.
What
is even more concerning is that in order to maintain its breakneck
economic “growth” of ~8% per year, China has to continue injecting
massive amounts of debt, the so called “credit impulse” or “flow” which
according to assorted views, is what is the true driver of an economy,
and where GDP growth is merely a reflection of how much credit is
entering (or leaving) the system.
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