Financial
stocks have been out of favor for much of the period since the financial crisis. In the United States, the S&P 500 Financials
Index
rallied just 9% between the end of 2008 and the end of 2011 even though
the S&P 500 soared 50% during the same time period. (The same has
been true in Europe as well.)
Investors have been understandably wary of wading back into the
group. The financial crisis left some of the world's largest and oldest
financial institutions on the brink of failure. Clearly, many of these
institutions failed to control their risk and ended up far too exposed
to the U.S. residential property
market bust and to the more recent European
sovereign debt crisis.
But the tide is starting to turn.
In 2012, the S&P 500 Financials Index was the top-performing
sector in the entire market. The Bloomberg European Financials Index
soared nearly 26%, compared with a 14.5% gain for the Bloomberg European
500.
The U.S. residential property market is not robust by any stretch of
the imagination. But after five years of plummeting home values and
soaring foreclosures, prices are showing signs of bottoming out in many
markets. Foreclosed homes typically sell at 30% or larger discounts to
homes in similar neighborhoods that aren't distressed. But the shadow
inventory of homes -- homes still moving through the
foreclosure process -- is beginning to dwindle, putting less pressure on home values. There are even some signs of
speculation
developing in some once-hot markets, such as Miami and Phoenix, as
short-term investors buy and sell homes on the cheap to generate a quick
profit.
(more)
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