As I was reviewing the list of stocks hitting 52-week lows this week,
I noticed an unusual cluster of stocks: silver-miners. These stocks
have been under heavy pressure in recent weeks and are falling anew,
leaving them -- at least in the context of recent trading patterns and
valuation sentiments -- quite cheap. Then again, just because something
is cheap doesn't mean
it's a bargain. After all, stocks moving below their 52-week lows can
fall yet further before rebounding. So are these lagging silver-mining
stocks offering up value, or are they just a value trap?
Here's what I found...
The cycle and costs -- a double whammy
Silver miners, just like any other mining firm, are seeing rising costs
as labor and equipment expenses have both risen steadily in recent
quarters. Higher expenses aren't a short-term blip -- they're the "new
normal." Adding insult, commodity
prices have been steadily falling on concerns that a European economic
implosion will affect global trading partners from Brazil to China.
Yet here's the most important factor: Even with rising expenses and
falling selling prices, silver miners continue to be a solidly
profitable group. The EPS (earnings per share) figures noted above actually understate their profitability. High levels of depreciation dampen net income, but operating cash flow per share for almost every one of these companies is solidly higher than that EPS figure. (more)
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