Given the turmoil in the Middle East and crisis in Japan, investors have
once again run to the safe haven assets of precious metals and oil. In
this flight to quality, many higher risk assets are quickly returning to
bargain basement levels. One such opportunity is directly correlated
with Japan's high tech economy. Despite the fact that long term rare
earth metals prices are soaring, stocks in the sector have plummeted on
fears that the tsunami would eradicate demand in Japan. However, these
fears have provided a long term opportunity for investors before the
rare earth crisis intensifies.
Building Blocks of High TechnologyWhile
Scandium, Gadolinium and Yttrium don't exactly roll off the tongue,
these minerals form the building blocks of high technology. From slick
flat panel TV's and cell phones to wind turbines and MRI machines, these
strategic metals are finding their ways into our daily lives more and
more. Terbium is one of the key ingredients in low-energy CFL light
bulbs and it takes roughly one ton of neodymium for every megawatt of
generating capacity a wind turbine has. Hybrid cars
use up to 25 pounds of these precious metals in their advanced electric
motors in order to increase efficiency. Currently, worldwide demand
outside of China for rare earths totals about 60,000 tons per year.
Chinese Domination
Demand for these materials is only increasing as populations continue to grow. The market value
for strategic metals is expected to reach 200,000 tons by 2014, or
roughly valued at $2 to $3 billion. Chinese requirements of rare earths
are forecasted to exceed supply by 2012. These supply and demand
imbalances are a real cause for concern. Mostly due to its incredibly
lax environmental policies, China currently produces more than 95% of
global supply of rare earths. During the second half of 2010, China
slashed export quotas
by 72% and for 2011, the first round of export permits saw cuts of 35%.
These cuts have caused prices to skyrocket. One ton of neodymium is
quickly approaching the $180,000 mark. (more)
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