Based on a unique comparison with the Nikkei 225 and prior mega-bears it seems evident that the S&P 500 should continue its rise to 1400 or so in the first half of 2011 before it collapses completely down to an unbelievably low of 400. Before you totally reject this possibility please read the entire article.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Asia’s Comparison With Nikkei 225
Market strategists Sadiq Currimbhoy, Arik Reiss, and Jacky Tang of Bank of America Merrill Lynch Asia identified a pattern back in 2009 that supports the likelihood of additional gains in the S&P 500 regardless of the extent of the extent of the economic recovery in the U.S.. The analysts plotted the S&P 500 in DXY terms against the Nikkei by rebasing the S&P 500 to the same peak as the Nikkei but lagged by 117 months (i.e. 9.75 years) and uncovered an uncanny relationship as shown in the chart below.
Their analysis suggested that the S&P peak would be achieved by December 10th of last year but that obviously was not the case. Failing to achieve such a precise projection can be excused so the realization of such a target in the first half of 2011 should be deemed acceptable. (more)
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