The Gold Report: The last time we spoke, you said you'd gone long on precious metals and short on housing, banking etc., as you'd become more certain of your viewpoint. You said, "Everybody is being told things are fine and that the economy will return to normal and growth will continue"—an underlying assumption you called "dead wrong." If that assumption is dead wrong, why are equities markets generally increasing and what should we expect from equities and gold markets going forward?
John Embry: I think the equity markets are reflecting the enormous amount of liquidity being injected into the market, particularly in the U.S. There's no question that POMO (permanent open market operations) are going on continuously—to the extent that Goldman Sachs has identified the days they're happening and recommending people buy equities those days—and they're having an outsized impact on the market. This does not reflect the underlying economics whatsoever.
We're very concerned about what might happen to equities because we continue to believe our view on the economy is playing out and that the U.S. economy has no real forward thrust. I don't think equities are all that interesting now, particularly at the level to which they've been elevated due to these various market interventions.
The authorities wanted to make things look better going into the November elections. Maybe now, there will be less pressure to inflate things to such an extent and they will focus more on reality than elections. Now that we're through the elections, it's almost like the roadrunner off the cliff. The feet are going fast, but look out below. (more)
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