Saturday, December 20, 2014

Soybeans Likely The Next Market to Take a Big Dump

A look at the January soybean chart indicates that prices are roughly the same price level as they were at the end of October. Taking out a couple of extreme sessions from both the upper end and the bottom end, January soybeans have been range bound between $10.20 and $10.50. Currently prices are near the low end of this range. Generally speaking, the market has been stronger than what we would have expected given the bearish fundamentals.
The USDA is providing some new information as "food for thought" moving into next year. In its baseline projections, the USDA recently indicated they'll be projecting soybean acreage next spring at 84.0 million acres, virtually identical to planted acreage this year. It further projects a slowdown in usage resulting in rising projected ending stocks pegged at 519 million bushels for the next crop year. This compares with recent projections of 410 million bushels carryout for the 2014/15 marketing year. (more)

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