Wednesday, September 17, 2014

Winter is Coming! Here's My Favorite Seasonal Trade: Natural Gas

Over the years, I've been successful trading weather patterns as they relate to commodities such as crude oil, gasoline and grains. As unpredictable as the weather can seem, there are patterns, and traders who get ahead of the crowd can exploit them for reliable profits.
Today, I'm going to share one of my favorite seasonal trades with you, and that is the tendency for natural gas prices to rise in the winter months as the colder weather spurs demand for use in home heating.
Natural Gas Prices
Source: U.S. Energy Administration
For seven of the past 10 years, the price of natural gas has risen between the beginning of September and the end February, with an average gain of 17.6%.
The Farmers' Almanac predicts the 2014-2015 winter will again bring record cold temperatures for most of the nation. And with natural gas prices near historical lows, this would all but guarantee higher prices over the next few months. (more)

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