Friday, August 1, 2014

The Fate of the Stock Market Rests with One Stock: SOX

Semiconductors have fired a warning shot.
 
As the S&P 500 hovers near its all-time high, the semiconductor sector is taking a nosedive.
 
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (the "SOX") fell nearly 4% last week. Individual semiconductor stocks fared even worse. Qualcomm (QCOM) declined 6%. Applied Materials (AMAT) fell 8%. And Maxim Integrated Products (MXIM) plunged 13%.
 
Semiconductors tend to lead the market. So this could be the first sign of trouble...
 
Take a look at this chart of the SOX...
 
 
Last week, the SOX broke below its 50-day moving average (DMA). Most technical analysts view the 50-DMA as the "line in the sand" separating intermediate-term uptrends from intermediate-term downtrends. So when an asset is trading above the 50-DMA, it's bullish. When it's trading below the 50-DMA, it's bearish.  (more)

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