Wednesday, May 23, 2012

When to Buy Stocks

If you buy stocks at the wrong time, you’re going to lose money.

It doesn’t matter if you’re a long-term value investor or a short-term trader. When you’re dealing in stocks, timing isn’t everything — it’s the only thing.

As I was sorting through the mailbag this weekend, I found that many of your questions were about when to buy into a stock or a big investment idea. Today, I want to look at some of the potential trades and investments on your collective radar. I’ll analyze the charts and tell you if you’re looking at a solid buying opportunity — or a potentially disastrous trade…

Let’s get started:

What do you think of Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO) and Silvercorp Metals (NYSE:SVM)? Is now a good time to buy shares of both?

— S.R.

Here’s what Cisco looks like right now:

Cisco Systems, Inc.

Yikes. Cisco is more or less a household name. But this chart is just awful. No one wants to own this stock — and with good reason. The company issued terrible earnings just last week — as evidenced by the massive gap down from $18.50 to $17.25. This gap will now act as resistance. So even though we’re seeing a decent rebound today to the high $16’s, I wouldn’t count on this stock recovering past the mid $17s anytime soon.

Any way you look at it, this thing is toxic. I would avoid it at any price. (more)

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