Wednesday, April 20, 2011

The Lost Decade for the S&P 500

Here is an update of a chart I posted last November to illustrate the total return performance of the S&P 500 since the Tech Bubble closing high on March 24, 2000. The chart shows the value of $1000 invested in the index, including dividends, but excluding any taxes or fees, as of April 18th.

I calculated on the returns based on the daily price and daily dividends interpolated from the quarterly dividends as reported by Standard & Poor's. Thus the values are the hypothetical return excluding any taxes or fees.

For the sake of comparison and to validate the calculation method, we can compare Vanguard's 500 Index Investor Fund (VFINX), which has had a return of $1,032 over the same timeframe The SPY ETF has returned $1,021. The chart also includes the real value using the Consumer Price Index for the inflation adjustment.

We're now over eleven years beyond the S&P 500 2000 high. This little charting exercise gives credence to the frequent reference to a "lost decade" for investors. It also offers support for the wisdom of diversification across asset classes.

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