Saturday, July 3, 2010

The Homeless Recovery?

No, this does refer to some type of improvement in the homeless problem domestically. Unfortunately with what is happening both in residential real estate and labor markets, that problem probably gets worse before it gets better. It has been some time since I have looked at the National Association of Home Builders housing index numbers, but believe it's important to do so now. Especially given the ECRI message of the moment showing us the potential for a proverbial double dip in the macro economy itself. You already know the recent NAHB monthly reading in the now absence of the homebuyer tax credit was not good at all. Same deal with month over month new and existing home sales. But as I have done in the past, looking at the NAHB numbers in isolation is not the key issue. As I have shown you in prior discussions and is important now, the NAHB data has shown us its own leading tendencies historically that have proven to be important watch points. Will it be so again? (more)

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