Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Silver Overhanging Supply Preventing Breakout Higher


Whereas gold has forged ahead to new highs in recent weeks, silver has got bogged down working off overhanging supply, which is the price it is paying for having dropped like a rock last year, so that even though it has risen proportionally more than gold this year, it had so much ground to make up that it still hasn't broken out to new highs.
The long-term chart for silver looks chaotic compared to that for gold, not helped by the violent plunge last year which saw it drop from a high near $21 to a mere $8.50 at the low. It has spent this year to date slowly making up the lost ground which has involved it laboriously working its way through the overhanging supply set up by the plunge. The good news is that with the recent break above more concentrated resistance in the $16 area, there is now not that much more resistance to go before it breaks into the clear by advancing above last year's highs, and with gold looking set to continue to make strong gains, a breakout to new highs is probably not very far off. (more)

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