Wednesday, June 3, 2009

John Kaiser: The Race to Rare Earths

Source: The Gold Report 06/02/2009

China's export-based economy, once dependent on American greed, is now but a fading memory. While the U.S. was busy printing and preening, the Chinese were long-range planning. But America wasn't the only country caught off guard by China's strategic, if surreptitious, supply procurement. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, John Kaiser, mining analyst for more than 25 years, explains how the East-West economic tables got turned and why he remains steadfast in the belief that "we are not at the mercy of places like China."

The Gold Report: John, you have indicated that base metal prices will be stronger than one would expect given the gloomy global economic outlook, but more importantly, that the valuations of companies with "pounds in the ground" will surprise us on the upside. You believe that security-of-supply concerns will replace what you call short-term "economic logic" with a long-term "strategic logic" as a driving force behind valuations—particularly for the group of metals you call "infrastructure support metals." Can you give us an overview of those metals and why you think there's such a strong upside possibility? (more)

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